Science

Analogies, science, and climate change – Longmont Times-Call


Facts take precedence over ‘consensus’

Bill Butler says that analogies can’t be used in scientific arguments. Whether that’s true is irrelevant since Professor Richard Lindzen didn’t use an analogy in an argument. He properly used it, as he explained in his linked talk, to illustrate that the whole narrative of climate alarm is pretty absurd. Just as the doctor wanted to put the patient on life support for a small temperature elevation, climate alarmists want to take the drastic action of banning all fossil fuels because of a slight increase in global temperature.

Butler made another strange assertion, especially for one who, based on his past letters, seems to consider himself an authority on science. He implies climate alarmists must be right because “the vast majority of scientists worldwide” agree with them. Surely he knows that there have been many scientific theories in the past, such as the sun revolving about the earth, that a majority of scientists embraced that turned out to be wrong.

A recent such instance involves stomach ulcers. This one is especially irksome to me, since in 1976 I had major surgery removing about half of my stomach because of a stomach ulcer. We now know the ulcer could have been treated with antibiotics. Fortunately the surgery went well and I have had only minor complications from it. As meteorologist Anthony Watts says in the book I cited in my last letter, “Facts and scientific evidence should always trump claims of‘ consensus ’.”

Watts adds, “Nevertheless, to the extent people claim a scientific consensus exists about climate change and its potential dangers, there has been only a single scientific organization whose full membership has been polled on climate change issues, the American Meteorological Society (AMS), and the evidence shows AMS members are not deeply concerned about the effects of climate change. ”

Carl Brady

Frederick



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